Archive for the ‘Observations’ Category

Is Bill O’Reilly a Libertarian?

Tuesday, September 1st, 2009

Someone on Twitter asked the other day:

"Someone described Bill O’Reilly as being a Libertarian. Just curious how that lines up?"

- @Astrostrat89

Occasionally popular TV commentators claim that they’re “a libertarian but…” and they’ll go on to explain some major way that they’re not at all a libertarian, so that’s one easy test – use of non-libertarian qualifiers.  A prime example would be “libertarian socialists”.

It’s pretty common to find people on Twitter who manage to assert their libertarian views, and immediately refute them in 140 characters, like this guy for example:

@shannon_e I’m kind of a libertarian but they should be forced off the street, and be put into, you know those special units for cleaning?
8:52 PM Aug 29th from web in reply to shannon_e

- @Luke021

For non-libertarians, I’ll point out that the “they should be forced” part of the comment flies in the face of “The Libertarian Pledge” which is signed by all Libertarians and reads:

I hereby certify that I do not believe in or advocate the initiation of force as a means of achieving political or social goals.

If you agree with that pledge, and it’s implications, then you’re considered a Libertarian.

Interestingly, I’ve heard Bill Maher, Glenn Beck, and Bill O’Reilly referred to as “libertarians”, yet none of them are on this short and fairly authoritative list of Libertarian Celebrities and VIP’s over at TheAdvocates.org.

So why is this?

The website provides a pretty quick way to determine if you or someone you know, or even a popular TV commentator is *really* a libertarian is to give them the “Worlds Smallest Political Quiz” – ten quick questions that serve as a litmus test for libertarian views.

Take a moment to take the quiz now…

* * *

While only Bill O’Reilly can answer these questions for sure, I took a crack at it.  These are my subjective assessments of things I could find on the Internet that seemed conclusive to me – and I encourage people who have conclusive evidence of his views that are contrary to my quick assessments to correct me in the comments and I’ll try to update it.

I’ve linked to resources on the net that helped inform my guess – if you think they’re inaccurate, please provide a quote from Bill himself or a more recent source on the question than my link.  Also, it’d be nice to establish a pattern of a particular view. Here goes…

Government should not censor speech, press, media or Internet.    
Disagree   

Military service should be voluntary. There should be no draft.
Disagree   

There should be no laws regarding sex for consenting adults.
Agree   

Repeal laws prohibiting adult possession and use of drugs.
Disagree   

There should be no National ID card.    
Maybe

End "corporate welfare." No government handouts to business.
Maybe

End government barriers to international free trade.
Maybe   

Let people control their own retirement; privatize Social Security.
Maybe

Replace government welfare with private charity.    
Maybe   

Cut taxes and government spending by 50% or more.    
Maybe   

Here are the results for the quiz answers I imagine Bill O’Reilly would give:

draw[1]

Your PERSONAL issues Score is 30%.
Your ECONOMIC issues Score is 50%.

So as far as I can tell, Bill O’Reilly is not a libertarian, but a centrist.  Of course, I couldn’t really find conclusive info on a few issues.  Here’s the quizzes definition of a centrist:

CENTRISTS espouse a "middle ground" regarding government control of the economy and personal behavior. Depending on the issue, they sometimes favor government intervention and sometimes support individual freedom of choice.

Centrists pride themselves on keeping an open mind, tend to oppose "political extremes," and emphasize what they describe as "practical" solutions to problems.

I’ve given the test to hundreds of people at festivals and events.  While you may find the results to be surprising, it’s about what I’d expect for a TV personality – especially a neo-conservative one.  He has a reputation for being rude to guests, over the top, and critical of the left, but he hasn’t really taken a stand (that I could find) on government spending, corporate welfare, or free trade – all things that would shed some more light on his economic views.

Interestingly, the majority of people I’ve met seem to land in the top half of the diamond, meaning that whether or not they’re left, right, or center on the quiz, they tend to lean libertarian – even if they’re hung up on some issue that prevents them from attaining full-fledged libertarian status in my eyes.

Another thing to note is that people change.  2008 presidential candidate Bob Barr has a voting history in the US House that is far from libertarian, but his views changed.  He admitted that some of his previous positions such as supporting “The Patriot Act” were “wrong” and while he may not be crazy about all of the implications of liberty for all.

He seems to have come to the realization that the benefits of achieving social and political goals through reason and rational discourse outweigh the common alternatives of force and fraud.

UPDATE:
I found some online commentary on the subject – they seem to agree.
Don’t Call Bill O’Reilly a Libertarian
Bill O’ Reilly is Not a Libertarian

UPDATE 2:
Libertarians care about the US Constitution – Bill O’Reilly says he doesn’t, so it seems to be pretty much settled. Bill O’Reilly is not a Libertarian.

Cons of Bureaucratic Infrastructure Maintenance

Sunday, January 20th, 2008

From an article circulated amongst my family members:

Oberstar said the discovery of the Ohio bridge problem and its similarity to what happened in Minneapolis should renew concerns about the nation’s bridges. He said it underscores the need for a bill he’s sponsored that would increase the number of bridge inspectors around the country, as well as offer them more training opportunities.
SOURCE: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/M/MN_BRIDGE_COLLAPSE_PRECEDENT_OHOL-?SITE=WBNSTV&SECTION=HOME

Note how the solution to the failure of big government is always *MORE GOVERNMENT*.  The problem was a systematic failure of bureaucratic processes to build and maintain safe bridges.  Simply adding more inspectors for input into the bureaucracy, or dumping more money into the wasteful bureaucracy will not fix the problem.

When this first happened I thought to myself, “Where can I find examples of bridges of similar size, load-bearing capability, and age that are privately owned – and do they ever have failures?”

The answer is that the railroads are expert private bridge builders and maintainers.  Even though a bridge failure might cost only two human lives (Conductor and Engineer), the economic impact of a bridge failure would be severe – resulting in bottlenecks, delays, and all sorts of other headaches for the railroad at a substantial loss of profit.

I conducted a search of railroad bridge collapses in several periodical search databases from the library.  There *were* several railroad bridge collapses, but all failures were either in cases where the bridge was damaged by an accident (for example the Bayou Canot, LA bridge failure that swallowed up the Sunset Limited after a barge accident damaged the bridge)  or in cases where extreme weather such as flooding or a hurricane damaged the bridge.  In *most* of these cases the bridge was inspected *before* the accident happened (privately owned bridges do not face a shortage of inspectors).  In fact, the CSX bridge that led to the Sunset Limited wreck was damaged between the time when it was inspected *earlier that day* and when the Amtrak train crossed it.

For every hour that a railroad bridge is out of service, it may make an entire cross country rail route unusable and cost the railroads millions of dollars in train re-routes, crew overtime, and late fees to “Just in Time” shipping customers.  The railroad has an obligation to its shareholders (people like you and me who probably own railroad stock as part of our retirement funds) to keep things running – and when they fail, to get them running again, even at great effort and expense.

The government, however, faces no such sense of urgency.  Though a bridge outage may also cost millions or even billions in losses, it’s not viewed as a direct loss by bureaucrats and politicians tasked with re-building it.  Just look at this case from the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina:

In August, 2005, Hurricane Katrina flattened two bridges, one for cars, one for trains, that span the two miles of water separating this city of 8,000 from the town of Pass Christian. Sixteen months later, the automobile bridge remains little more than pilings. The railroad bridge is busy with trains.

The difference: The still-wrecked bridge is owned by the U.S. government. The other is owned by railroad giant CSX Corp. of Jacksonville, Fla. Within weeks of Katrina’s landfall, CSX dispatched construction crews to fix the freight line; six months later, the bridge reopened. Even a partial reopening of the road bridge, part of U.S. Highway 90, is at least five months away.

“It shows the difference between the private sector and the public sector,” says Harold “Buz” Olsen, chief administrative officer of Bay St. Louis, who displays a photograph of the train bridge in the city council chambers as a reminder. “By the time CSX was done with their bridge, we were just getting around to letting the contract on ours.”
SOURCE: http://www.post-gazette.com/pg/07029/757969-84.stm

The public infrastructure system also suffers from another fatal flaw.  The politicians and bureaucrats charged with maintaining bridges and other vital public infrastructure need to secure public funding – often through taxation – to fund their repairs.  The sad fact is that this is a *lot* easier if your infrastructure is falling apart than if it is in great shape. 

With the railroads, funding to maintain their infrastructure is automatic.  Preventative maintenance is a financial necessity.  As a result, many railroad bridges in service today are in excellent shape – despite being built long before the 40 year old highway bridge that failed in Minnesota.  Private railroad bridges rarely require replacement – unless the railroad needs greater capacity either due to larger loads, an increased number of tracks, or to increase bridge clearances to accommodate modern railroad equipment such as “double stack” Intermodal railcars.

With highway bridges, often only decades old, the structures are neglected.  By the time maintenance funding is secured through political and bureaucratic wrangling, total replacement is the only feasible option.

Little Seattle

Tuesday, October 23rd, 2007

I knew it’d be raining when I woke up – and it was.  Wife was up late working on a school project – no idea how late though, I don’t speak snore.  I turned in at about 1:00a after reviewing some documents for friends and doing a little financial planning.  Slept through "In Rainbows" on the clock radio CD player and woke up to incessant beeping.  Somehow I turned off both alarms and set the nap timer.  I started to gain awareness after flicking on the TV.  Local news is a blur, but California is burning.  The rain here is quite a contrast – but nothing compared to the 10" in New Orleans yesterday.

Grabbed a shower, threw on my clothes with an eye toward compatibility with the damp.  It was about 10 till launch, so I grabbed two donuts and a Game Fuel.  Better than nothing.  I usually stay away from canned beverages before noon.  Just enough time to get upstairs, shave, figure out how to tame my fresh haircut, and brush the aftermath of breakfast and a night of coma-like sleep into the basin.

I checked my watch for the high/low and forecast, then grabbed the fleece and Gore-Tex.  Checked on the wife and said bye, then down the stairs, off with the TV and lights and out the door.  I paused under the porch as I drew my umbrella from it’s position in my bag and charged across the street like Roosevelt at San Juan Hill.

The trees were low and heavy with leaves.  To avoid them, it was sort of a tactical crouch-run as my eyes darted to detect incoming road spray, the leavings of dog walkers, and the possibility of an early bus.  None were apparent.  I paused at my way-point in the bus shelter and shook off my umbrella, then a car swerved into a long pool in the gutter and sent half of it my way in slow motion.  Halo 3 reflexes handily deployed the shield and protected me from the brunt of the tsunami.  The bus rolled up not long after and I paused inside as the driver scowled – I juggled my wallet and umbrella to present my bus pass.  I’ve ridden every day but two for three weeks – she knows me, but apparently seeing a well-worn ID with an indistinguishable photo of me in a goatee somehow helps.  Mere authoritarian theatre.  It’s unconsionable to fund transit with taxes then charge a fee for use.

The bus was a Flexible, built in my hometown.  I toured the plant before it closed, apparently because the busses leaked and rattled annoyingly at the slightest bump.  It was dark and the headlights on window droplets made it impossible to see much but the road ahead.  The other riders mostly reading, napping, or groggily staring ahead like zombies satiated by a belly-full of brains.

STOP REQUESTED scrolled in blinding red LED’s on the marquee as the bus lurched around the corner toward the stop on Chestnut (Grandpa had worked on this corner for much of his life).  A few of us stood – our umbrellas as rifles in defense of the assaulting rain, then we were out – in the canyon of tall buildings the wind blew rain from every where and nowhere at once.  My goal, on the other side of a river of jostling steel was a brass revolving door at Three Nationwide.  The light flashed WALK and I stepped forward as two piggly drivers pushed through the crosswalk ahead of the saturated pedestrian mass.  At least they didn’t splash much.

As I reached the door I passed a guy in a rain suit leaning on a broom.  His task – sweep leaves.  Unwinnable in these conditions, more so without effort.  Maybe they could give him a blower so he could waste gas too like on campus where the grounds crew seems to judge status by the number of small gas engines under his/her command.

I pushed through the door and paused to shake of my umbrella – not working in the building, just visiting to avoid the wet.  Strolled under the un-blinking cameras then out the other side a block away.  "Press button to cross Front" said the sign, and I did.  A minute later I was out in the rain again but headed for awnings on a parking garage.  It was tempting to hug the building wall, but in an effort to prevent the little alcoves from being too cozy, the architects left an opening to the sky up close – the driest path was out over the sidewalk.

No trains rumbling beneath me this morning – a small disappointment. 

Doors "secured" by key-cards at work before open, and I saw a woman bobbling her umbrella as she searched for her card.  I stopped by the main door and watched as I shook off my umbrella, then in past the guards office (blinds drawn, no ID, and no security check) and watched the numbers count down to a cheerful "Good morning!" as I stepped in the opposite elevator door.  She swiped her key that activated the controls and I casually tapped the button to my supposedly secure floor.  Security theatre.  Nobody wears or checks for our ID badges.  You could stroll in with an AMRAAM with a cheerful attitude and an air of decision.

"Top o’ the mornin’ – FOX THREE".